[1]徐李刚,张 巍,钱 晟,等.经导管动脉化疗栓塞成功转化的初始不可切除肝癌术前预测模型的临床研究[J].介入放射学杂志,2022,31(07):670-674.
 XU Ligang,ZHANG Wei,QIAN Sheng,et al.The establishment of preoperative predictive model used for predicting TACE-transformed initially-inoperable HCC: a clinical study[J].journal interventional radiology,2022,31(07):670-674.
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经导管动脉化疗栓塞成功转化的初始不可切除肝癌术前预测模型的临床研究()

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《介入放射学杂志》[ISSN:1008-794X/CN:31-1796/R]

卷:
31
期数:
2022年07
页码:
670-674
栏目:
肿瘤介入
出版日期:
2022-09-03

文章信息/Info

Title:
The establishment of preoperative predictive model used for predicting TACE-transformed initially-inoperable HCC: a clinical study
作者:
徐李刚 张 巍 钱 晟 瞿旭东 颜志平 王建华 刘萍萍 王 栋 杨国威 刘 嵘
Author(s):
XU Ligang ZHANG Wei QIAN Sheng JU Xudong YAN Zhiping WANG Jianhua LIU Pingping WANG Dong YANG Guowei LIU Rong.
Department of Interventional Radiology, Jing’an Branch, Affiliated Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200040, China
关键词:
【关键词】 不可切除肝癌 补救性肝切除 经导管动脉化疗栓塞 预测模型
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
【摘要】 目的 了解经导管动脉化疗栓塞(TACE)联合补救性肝切除(SLR)治疗初始不可切除肝细胞癌(HCC)的疗效及其影响因素,构建SLR术前选择性预后预测模型。方法 回顾性分析2010年1月至2016年12月在复旦大学附属中山医院接受TACE+SLR治疗的119例初始不可切除HCC患者的临床资料。随访36个月,存活时间≥36个月患者82 例(长期存活组),存活时间<36个月患者37 例(短期存活组)。通过卡方检验和Cox多因素回归模型确定SLR前的关键因素,构建接受TACE+SLR治疗HCC患者的SLR术前选择性预后预测Nomogram模型。结果 119例患者的1、2、3年总生存率(OS)分别为90.8%、80.6%、68.6%。SLR术前AFP>20 ng/mL、癌灶数目≥4个、TACE治疗后肿瘤负荷降低<0.15、门脉癌栓(PVTT)和主瘤最大径>10 cm等是影响预后、增加死亡风险的SLR术前关键因素。基于上述5个关键因素构建新的SLR前预后预测Nomogram模型,其C指数=0.781(95% CI:0.714~0.848),具有较好的预测患者生存的准确性和区分能力。结论 TACE联合SLR治疗初始不可切除肝癌患者疗效确切。基于SLR前AFP水平、癌灶数目、肿瘤负荷下降水平、PVTT、主瘤最大径构建的Nomogram模型能较好地预测初始不可切除HCC患者接受TACE+SLR治疗的预后。

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
(收稿日期:2021- 11- 22)
(本文编辑:新 宇)
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-09-02